{"id":7208,"date":"2016-10-20T14:00:02","date_gmt":"2016-10-20T18:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=7208"},"modified":"2016-10-20T10:45:23","modified_gmt":"2016-10-20T14:45:23","slug":"political-scientists-predict-the-outcome","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=7208","title":{"rendered":"Political Scientists Predict the Outcome"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/pollyvote.com\/en\/2016\/10\/20\/state-wide-survey-of-political-scientists-clinton-now-at-358-electoral-votes\/\">PollyVote surveyed\u00a0673 political scientists<\/a>\u00a0over the past four days and asked them to predict the outcome of the election in their state. These forecasts suggest that Clinton will win with 358 electoral votes with just 180 going to Trump:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Prediction.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7209\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Prediction.jpg\" alt=\"prediction\" width=\"858\" height=\"536\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Prediction.jpg 858w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Prediction-300x187.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Prediction-768x480.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 858px) 100vw, 858px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here are the predictions for the swingier states. The second column is the number of political scientists who responded to the survey. The third column is the predicted chance\u00a0that Clinton will carry the state and the final column is the share of the two-party\u00a0vote.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Swing.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-7210\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Swing.jpg\" alt=\"swing\" width=\"772\" height=\"1220\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Swing.jpg 772w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Swing-190x300.jpg 190w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Swing-768x1214.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Swing-648x1024.jpg 648w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 772px) 100vw, 772px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Needless to say, Maryland is not a swing state with the 26 respondents gauging the likelihood of Clinton winning at 100% and guessing her share of\u00a0the two-party vote at 67.0%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PollyVote surveyed\u00a0673 political scientists\u00a0over the past four days and asked them to predict the outcome of the election in their state. These forecasts suggest that Clinton will win with 358 electoral votes with just 180 going to Trump: Here are the predictions for the swingier states. The second column is the number of political scientists &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=7208\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Political Scientists Predict the Outcome<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1442],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7208","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2016-presidential-election"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4mKJE-1Sg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7208","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7208"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7208\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7212,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7208\/revisions\/7212"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7208"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7208"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7208"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}