{"id":6565,"date":"2016-04-19T02:00:36","date_gmt":"2016-04-19T06:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=6565"},"modified":"2016-04-19T11:00:44","modified_gmt":"2016-04-19T15:00:44","slug":"updated-fundraising-in-congressional-district-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=6565","title":{"rendered":"Updated: Fundraising in Congressional District 8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>This is a guest blog by Adam Pagnucco.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Last October, we summarized <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=5772\">fundraising in Congressional District 8 through the third quarter of 2015. <\/a>\u00a0Today, we present updated numbers incorporating campaign finance reports through April 6,\u00a02016, which are the last reports due before the primary.<\/p>\n<p>First, let\u2019s look at the top-line numbers by category.<\/p>\n<p>Total Wine co-owner David Trone stands out.\u00a0 His $12.5 million in resources, almost entirely self-funded, accounts for 67% of all money in the race.\u00a0 Trone <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/local\/md-politics\/trone-puts-another-25-million-of-personal-funds-into-md-congressional-race\/2016\/04\/18\/aa47759c-05b4-11e6-a12f-ea5aed7958dc_story.html\">has set the all-time nationwide record for self-funding in a U.S. House primary<\/a> and his financing approaches the range of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=6401\">recent major candidates for Maryland Governor<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Former WJLA anchor and Marriott executive Kathleen Matthews and Senator Jamie Raskin have both done well.\u00a0 At the beginning of the race, many observers were predicting that it would take $2 million to win, and both Matthews and Raskin are roughly at that mark.\u00a0 If it were not for Trone, their financial performance would be attracting more comment.\u00a0 The other candidates combined have accounted for 9% of the election\u2019s funding and face steep challenges to be heard.\u00a0 (Dan Bolling\u2019s report has not been filed as of this writing, so his numbers are not included here.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Top-Line.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6571\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Top-Line-300x188.png\" alt=\"Top Line\" width=\"300\" height=\"188\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Top-Line-300x188.png 300w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Top-Line-768x482.png 768w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Top-Line.png 995w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Unlike state and county contributions, federal contributions must be designated for the primary or the general.\u00a0 The candidates have collected relatively little general election money and their budgets are almost entirely available for the primary.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Primary-vs-General.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6570\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Primary-vs-General-300x165.png\" alt=\"Primary vs General\" width=\"300\" height=\"165\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Primary-vs-General-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Primary-vs-General.png 569w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Burn rate, which is the percentage of money raised that has been spent, is not a terribly meaningful statistic at this point.\u00a0 Most of the candidates\u2019 money is gone now with the exception of Delegate Ana Sol Gutierrez, who can afford some late mailers if she wishes.\u00a0 But Trone and Matthews have additional self-financing capacity, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/local\/md-politics\/in-a-field-of-rich-congressional-candidates-this-wine-magnate-is-the-richest\/2016\/03\/07\/72138b56-e46d-11e5-b0fd-073d5930a7b7_story.html\">even Raskin can self-fund to a limited extent<\/a>.\u00a0 (So far, he has given himself just $2,700.)\u00a0 Additionally, this statistic is affected by the timing of bill payments.\u00a0 Candidates who pay late look better on cash-on-hand than those who pay early.\u00a0 Note: Trone\u2019s raised figure includes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/local\/md-politics\/trone-puts-another-25-million-of-personal-funds-into-md-congressional-race\/2016\/04\/18\/aa47759c-05b4-11e6-a12f-ea5aed7958dc_story.html\">the two self-funding contributions he made last week<\/a>, but his cash on hand applies to April 6.\u00a0 That makes his data not strictly comparable to the other candidates, but at this point, he and the others are spending as fast as they take money in.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Burn-Rate.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6567\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Burn-Rate-300x132.png\" alt=\"Burn Rate\" width=\"300\" height=\"132\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Burn-Rate-300x132.png 300w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Burn-Rate.png 711w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The maximum allowable individual contribution is $2,700 per election, both primary and general.\u00a0 Matthews leads in this category.\u00a0 Thirty percent of her fundraising has come from maximum checks and her average individual contribution is the highest in the field.\u00a0 Raskin has the smallest average individual contribution, but that does not include his lead in unitemized contributions of $200 or less.\u00a0 There\u2019s no way to tell from the campaign finance reports how many of those small contributions he has received, but they total over $300,000.\u00a0 Raskin is the race\u2019s small dollar leader.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Avg-Max-Individual.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6566\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Avg-Max-Individual-245x300.png\" alt=\"Avg Max Individual\" width=\"245\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Avg-Max-Individual-245x300.png 245w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/Avg-Max-Individual.png 569w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 245px) 100vw, 245px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>In terms of geography, large amounts of out-of-state cash have been flowing into CD8.\u00a0 Excluding self-financing and unitemized contributions, only Raskin has received a majority of his contributions from Maryland while Delegate Kumar Barve is close at 47%.\u00a0 Nearly half of all money from Marylanders in this race has gone to Raskin.\u00a0 Matthews, Gutierrez, Will Jawando, Joel Rubin and Dave Anderson have all received less than a third of their contributions from Marylanders other than themselves.\u00a0 Rubin\u2019s take from California is more than double his receipts from Maryland.\u00a0 Matthews\u2019 number one location of contributions is the District of Columbia and she leads in receipts from the District, Virginia, New York, California and Massachusetts.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-State.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6569\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-State-300x141.png\" alt=\"By State\" width=\"300\" height=\"141\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-State-300x141.png 300w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-State-768x361.png 768w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-State-1024x481.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-State.png 1279w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s a breakdown by locality, both inside and outside the district.\u00a0 Matthews leads in funding from Potomac and is basically tied with Raskin in Chevy Chase, while Raskin leads in Bethesda, Silver Spring, Rockville, Kensington and Takoma Park (the latter by light years).\u00a0 Matthews dominates in fundraising from large localities outside the district.\u00a0 She has raised more than three times as much money from New York City as she has from Silver Spring, Takoma Park, Rockville and Kensington combined.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-City.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6568\" src=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-City-300x159.png\" alt=\"By City\" width=\"300\" height=\"159\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-City-300x159.png 300w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-City-768x406.png 768w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-City-1024x541.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/By-City.png 1137w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>This data makes clear the fundraising strengths of CD8 candidates.\u00a0 Trone is self-funding A LOT.\u00a0 Matthews has tapped into a large monetary base combining national level Democrats, PACs and business money.\u00a0 Raskin has national and PAC money too, but most of his financing is local and much of it is small dollar.\u00a0 All three have the resources they need to win.\u00a0 Given the fact that these three account for 91% of the funding in this race, it\u2019s hard for the other candidates to break through.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is a guest blog by Adam Pagnucco. Last October, we summarized fundraising in Congressional District 8 through the third quarter of 2015. \u00a0Today, we present updated numbers incorporating campaign finance reports through April 6,\u00a02016, which are the last reports due before the primary. First, let\u2019s look at the top-line numbers by category. Total Wine &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=6565\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Updated: Fundraising in Congressional District 8<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[151],"tags":[1301,1545,1778,1502,1308],"class_list":["post-6565","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-adam-pagnucco","tag-mdcd8","tag-adam-pagnucco","tag-david-trone","tag-jamie-raskin","tag-kathleen-matthews"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4mKJE-1HT","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6565","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6565"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6565\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6576,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6565\/revisions\/6576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}