{"id":3771,"date":"2014-09-19T08:30:17","date_gmt":"2014-09-19T12:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=3771"},"modified":"2014-09-18T23:54:54","modified_gmt":"2014-09-19T03:54:54","slug":"md-02-tea-leaves","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=3771","title":{"rendered":"MD-02 Tea Leaves"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Dutch Ruppersberger<\/strong> is 68 so it&#8217;s possible he could choose to retire relatively soon. D2 is a bizarre gerrymander takes in few legislative districts in their entirety. However, it does take in all of District 6, which would position soon-to-be Sen. <b>Johnny Olszewski<\/b> well for a bid (or perhaps Delegate <b>Eric Bromwell<\/b>). While the Second does take in bits of Baltimore City, Howard and Anne Arundel Counties &#8211; none of them comprise a large enough portion of district to provide an effective base of support. I believe that any successful candidate would have to hail from Baltimore County.<\/p>\n<p>I can\u2019t tell based on a map of the 2nd district whether Senator <b>Ed DeGrange<\/b> overlaps at all in Northern Anne Arundel County. If he does, it\u2019d likely be worth his taking a shot at this.<\/p>\n<p>The Second District also includes a truly substantial portion of conservative Harford County. I believe there isn\u2019t a large enough base of Democratic primary voters for a viable Harford based candidate to emerge. Former Mike Miller aide <b>Pat Murray<\/b> would nonetheless have been an interesting candidate if he hadn\u2019t lost the primary in his bid for Delegate in this right-wing bastion.<\/p>\n<p>Delegate <b>Mary-Dulany James<\/b>&#8211;and now Democratic senatorial nominee&#8211;might be a viable Harford candidate but I think she\u2019s to far to the right of his D+7 district.<\/p>\n<p>State Secretary of Transportation and former Baltimore County Executive <b>Jim Smith<\/b> lives in Cockeysville, which is split between MD-01, MD-03 and MD-02. He could likely raise well over $1 million dollars for a bid here. Secretary Smith is in his mid seventies though and I doubt he\u2019d have the appetite.<\/p>\n<p>Former Investment Banker and 2002 Candidate <b>Oz Bengur<\/b> might decide that the field is weak and take a crack at it.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dutch Ruppersberger is 68 so it&#8217;s possible he could choose to retire relatively soon. D2 is a bizarre gerrymander takes in few legislative districts in their entirety. However, it does take in all of District 6, which would position soon-to-be Sen. Johnny Olszewski well for a bid (or perhaps Delegate Eric Bromwell). While the Second &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=3771\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">MD-02 Tea Leaves<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[128],"tags":[1528,1040,980,977,979,537,978,1041,1042],"class_list":["post-3771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-congress","tag-dutch-ruppersberger","tag-ed-degrange","tag-eric-bromwell","tag-jim-smith","tag-johnny-olszewski","tag-mary-dulany-james","tag-oz-bengur","tag-pat-murray","tag-second-congressional-district"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4mKJE-YP","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3771"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3771\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3968,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3771\/revisions\/3968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}