{"id":10257,"date":"2018-05-07T14:00:31","date_gmt":"2018-05-07T18:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=10257"},"modified":"2018-05-06T18:35:31","modified_gmt":"2018-05-06T22:35:31","slug":"the-progressives-big-gamble","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=10257","title":{"rendered":"The Progressives\u2019 Big Gamble"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>By Adam Pagnucco.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>One of the more remarkable things occurring in MoCo this cycle is the snowballing of progressive groups around District 3 County Council challenger Ben Shnider.\u00a0 Just look at our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=10097\">latest endorsement chart<\/a>.\u00a0 Shnider, who was virtually unknown a year ago, has collected about as many progressive endorsements as much better known politicians like Council Members Hans Riemer and Nancy Navarro, Delegate Ana Sol Gutierrez (running for Council District 1) and Council At-Large candidate Will Jawando.\u00a0 That\u2019s a challenge for Shnider\u2019s opponent, incumbent Council Member Sidney Katz, but it\u2019s a challenge for the progressive groups too.<\/p>\n<p>Sidney Katz is an odd target for progressives \u2013 and basically anyone else.\u00a0 Consider this: he has been an elected official at the municipal or county levels for forty years and no one dislikes him.\u00a0 Generations of Gaithersburg residents think of him as Dad, an uncle or Grandpa.\u00a0 No one would paint him as a conservative \u2013 for Heaven\u2019s sake, he voted for a nine percent property tax hike along with the rest of the council two years ago.\u00a0 He has also voted for nearly every other progressive initiative passed by the council, including more school funding, more non-profit support, bills establishing sick leave and parental leave and almost everything else.<\/p>\n<p>But there is one glaring exception: Katz was one of four Council Members who voted against the 2016 minimum wage bill which was then vetoed by County Executive Ike Leggett.\u00a0 That bill had incredible symbolic importance for many of MoCo\u2019s liberal groups, who viewed it as a litmus test for determining which elected officials were true progressives.\u00a0 Katz\u2019s efforts to forge a compromise and get a different version of the bill passed later did not mollify the left.\u00a0 For them, the damage was done.\u00a0 And someone\u2019s head had to roll.\u00a0 But whose?<\/p>\n<p>Four Council Members \u2013 Katz, Roger Berliner, Nancy Floreen and Craig Rice \u2013 voted against the first bill and Leggett vetoed it.\u00a0 Leggett and Floreen are term-limited and retiring.\u00a0 Rice has only token opposition in his Democratic primary.\u00a0 Berliner is running for Executive, an election in which progressive groups would be aligned with minimum wage lead-sponsor Marc Elrich regardless of the bill vote.\u00a0 That left Katz, the only opponent of the original bill against whom the left had a clear shot.\u00a0 And in Ben Shnider, the left has a challenger who is appealing, smart, hard-working, experienced in campaigns and an unquestioned progressive.<\/p>\n<p>SEIU Local 500, a lead player in advocating for minimum wage hikes at the state and county levels, was the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=9575\">first major progressive group to endorse Shnider<\/a>.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shniderforcouncil.com\/endorsements\/\">Many more followed<\/a>, including SEIU Locals 32BJ (janitors) and 1199 (health care), Progressive Maryland, the Laborers, Casa in Action, the teachers and more.\u00a0 The Sierra Club\u2019s endorsement of Shnider was probably connected to another vote of Katz\u2019s, this time <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bethesdamagazine.com\/Bethesda-Beat\/2015\/Council-Passes-General-Ban-on-Pesticides\/\">against a bill banning pesticides<\/a>.\u00a0 Katz is supported by the police and fire fighters unions, the volunteer fire fighters and the apartment and office building owners.\u00a0 MCGEO is the largest progressive group to not yet weigh in.<\/p>\n<p><em>Shnider pressures Katz on the minimum wage bill.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/9WcyWfFJ-Bs?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;start=3&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Knocking off an incumbent is not easy.\u00a0 Indeed, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=8885\">only one Democratic district council incumbent has been defeated<\/a> since the County Council\u2019s current structure was established in 1990 and that happened twenty years ago.\u00a0 In the last six times that a Democratic district council incumbent was challenged, the incumbent won by 50 or more points five times.<\/p>\n<p>Ben Shnider has nothing to lose by challenging Katz.\u00a0 He is running a tremendous campaign and has built great relationships with the left and the smart growth community.\u00a0 If he loses, he could very well come back to win another election as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=7870\">so many other MoCo politicians have<\/a>.\u00a0 Win or lose, Shnider will be just fine.<\/p>\n<p>But what about these progressive groups?\u00a0 The fact that so many of them have endorsed Shnider has MoCo\u2019s political community watching this race \u2013 especially the county\u2019s elected officials.\u00a0 The left will have many priorities in the next term and some will cost serious money and political capital.\u00a0 If these groups actually knock off Katz \u2013 or come close \u2013 then no one will want to run afoul of them in the future.\u00a0 But if they do nothing other than allow Shnider to use their logos and Katz wins big, they will look weak.\u00a0 Other elected officials will think, \u201cThey can\u2019t hurt me so I can do what I want.\u201d\u00a0 Let\u2019s remember that for most politicians, the main thing on their minds is ALWAYS whether a group can help them or hurt them.\u00a0 If you can\u2019t do either, you just don\u2019t matter.<\/p>\n<p>The progressives are making a big gamble by targeting Sidney Katz.\u00a0 For their sake, it better pay off.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Adam Pagnucco. One of the more remarkable things occurring in MoCo this cycle is the snowballing of progressive groups around District 3 County Council challenger Ben Shnider.\u00a0 Just look at our latest endorsement chart.\u00a0 Shnider, who was virtually unknown a year ago, has collected about as many progressive endorsements as much better known politicians &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/?p=10257\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">The Progressives\u2019 Big Gamble<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[151,770],"tags":[1545,2019,1988,772],"class_list":["post-10257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-adam-pagnucco","category-council-district-3","tag-adam-pagnucco","tag-ben-shnider","tag-council-district-3","tag-sidney-katz"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4mKJE-2Fr","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10257","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10257"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10257\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10271,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10257\/revisions\/10271"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10257"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10257"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theseventhstate.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10257"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}